Crop Progress, 2020 feels like 2019
This past week we had excellent weather. The planting progress numbers have shown we are nearing an end. Spring Wheat now at 92% planted, which is now above the 87% average! Barley also jumped to be an above average year, 90% planted and 89% current average. At this point we finally have some breathing room from a difficult past 9 months. Durum is still 12% behind average, at 70% planted, 54% last week.
Winter Wheat saw a large jump in conditions this week, from 11% to 33% in the "excellent" condition. We also saw a 2% increase in the very poor condition which i believe could be due to some hail damage in the Fairfield MT area. Barley 69% emerged, and Spring Wheat is 72% emerged, being mainly in the fair to good condition, once more of the crop is emerged, we will see a shift.
With dry hot weather in our future we are going to see the moisture levels quickly decline. Currently we are in good conditions 88% adequate subsoil moisture and 83% adequate topsoil. in some area’s farmers are seeing very dry topsoil but with excellent subsoil moisture. If you look at the same time last year 77% adequate subsoil and 83% adequate topsoil, we are about in the same conditions. It is hard to complain, but we could use some moisture in some areas soon.
With North Dakota Spring Wheat making some great progress last week now at 70% planting from 41%, but still slightly behind. All signs are pointing to a huge spring wheat crop. There is going to be excellent opportunity for our overseas customers to buy a premium product at a decent price due to the lower Winter Wheat acres.